The Illusion of Power -- Trump's Retreat and Iran's Unyielding Stance

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A Retreat Dressed in Diplomacy

It began with a threat—48 hours, and Iran's power plants would be reduced to rubble. Donald Trump, in his characteristic style, painted a picture of impending devastation. But somewhere between the bluster and the deadline, something shifted. The man who promised annihilation now speaks of "positive negotiations" and guarantees a five-day pause on attacks against Iranian energy infrastructure.

Let us be clear about what we are witnessing. This is not diplomacy born from strength. This is retreat dressed in the language of negotiation.

On March 21, Trump issued his ultimatum: open the Strait of Hormuz within 48 hours, or face American wrath. By March 23, that threat had evaporated. In its place came a Truth Social post announcing "very good and constructive" talks between the United States and Iran—talks that would continue through the week, with a promise that no energy infrastructure would be touched for five days, provided the negotiations proceed successfully.

The spelling mistakes were corrected. The post was deleted and reposted. Trump, it seems, was thinking carefully about his words. But careful thinking does not mask the fundamental reality: for the third time in this 24-day war, Trump has distanced himself from Israel and signaled a desire to step back from the brink.

The Disappearance of Israel

Notice what is missing from Trump's statement. Israel is not mentioned. Not once. After weeks of coordinated messaging, after positioning America as Israel's unwavering shield, the language has shifted entirely to "America and Iran." Netanyahu, who has spent this war trying to frame it as a battle between the United States and the Islamic Republic, finds himself erased from the American narrative.

This is the third time Trump has publicly separated himself from Israeli actions. When Israeli forces struck Tehran's oil refinery, reports emerged that Trump was displeased. When Israel attacked Iran's South Pars gas field, Trump claimed he had no prior knowledge and suggested such strikes should not have happened.

Now, he is guaranteeing Iran that their power plants will remain untouched—for five days at least. But what about Israeli strikes? The silence is deafening.

The Five-Day Ceasefire: Markets or Surrender?

The timing tells its own story. The announcement came on a Sunday, when markets were closed. Within minutes of Trump's statement, the S&P 500 surged, adding two trillion dollars in market capitalization. Half an hour later, when Iran began clarifying that no such negotiations were taking place, the market corrected itself—erasing one trillion dollars in a matter of minutes.

Senator Chris Murphy, a Democrat, put it plainly: Trump was sending a message to markets, assuring them that conflict would not escalate until at least Friday, when markets would close for the week.

Professor Mohammad Marandi of Tehran University offered a sharper assessment. Every week, when markets open, Trump issues such statements to lower oil prices. The five-day deadline, he noted, is calibrated to market rhythms. But the truth, Marandi insists, is simpler: there are no negotiations, and Trump cannot reopen the Strait of Hormuz. Iran has forced him to retreat.

The Nuclear Shadow: A New Battlefield

While Trump speaks of pauses and negotiations, the nature of this war has shifted. Repeated attacks on Natanz—Iran's nuclear facility—suggest a strategy beyond energy infrastructure. American B-2 bombers struck Natanz in June 2025, claiming to have eliminated Iran's nuclear capability. Now, bunker-buster bombs are being deployed again. Why?

The answer may lie in a calculated attempt to shift the terms of debate. Unable to build public support for war within America or internationally, the strategy appears to be forcing the nuclear question to the center. If the world can be convinced that Iran poses an imminent nuclear threat, then perhaps the reluctant nations can be pulled into the conflict.

Iran's response has been measured but unmistakable. Strikes on Dimona—the Israeli city near its nuclear research center—sent a clear message: Iran, too, can reach nuclear sites. The missiles penetrated Israel's multilayered defense systems. Not all were intercepted. An Israeli military official admitted the uncomfortable truth: "Nothing is perfect. There are operational failures. The interception mechanism is not an endless supply."

The Gulf's Invisible Wound

Here is what the rhetoric of "opening the Strait of Hormuz" conceals. Even if the strait were open tomorrow, the war would continue. Qatar's Ras Laffan refinery remains shut after an Iranian strike—repairs estimated to take three to five years. Saudi Arabia reports intercepting 438 drones, 36 ballistic missiles, and cruise missiles in recent weeks. Bahrain and Qatar, whose water comes entirely from desalination plants, face existential threats if those facilities are targeted.

Twenty-two countries—including Japan, Britain, Australia, France, South Korea, and Canada—have appealed to Iran to reopen the strait. India is notably absent from that list.

Iran's foreign minister, Araghchi, responded with a logic that is difficult to refute: "You cannot separate freedom of navigation from freedom of trade. If Iran is under sanctions and cannot trade freely, why should the Strait of Hormuz be open to all?" He offered a choice: provide both freedoms, or abandon both expectations.

India's Careful Distance

Prime Minister Narendra Modi, speaking in Parliament, drew comparisons to the COVID era—a recognition of the catastrophic economic impact looming at India's doorstep. Jobs, salaries, entire sectors hang in the balance. India's diplomatic position has been one of measured concern, opposing attacks on civilian, energy, and transport infrastructure, calling for de-escalation, and quietly working to ensure the safety of Indian vessels.

But the question that hovers over all careful diplomacy is this: when the world is burning, does neutrality protect anyone?

Facts

1. Trump announced a five-day pause on attacks against Iranian power plants and energy infrastructure on March 23, after threatening a 48-hour ultimatum on March 21.

2. Iran's official position remains consistent: no ceasefire without guarantees against renewed war, and no negotiations initiated by Iran. Iran was engaged in talks before it was attacked and has since refused to resume them.

3. Israel attacked Dimona on March 23, striking near Israel's nuclear research facility. Over 180 people were reported injured.

4. Saudi Arabia claims to have intercepted 438 drones, 36 ballistic missiles, and cruise missiles in recent weeks, and has asked Iran's defense attachés to leave the country.

5. The S&P 500 fluctuated by $3 trillion in market capitalization within 56 minutes following Trump's announcement and subsequent Iranian clarification.

6. Iran's missile strikes have reached targets including Qatar's Ras Laffan refinery (expected to take 3-5 years to repair) and Saudi Arabia's Prince Sultan Air Base.

7. Twenty-two countries appealed to Iran to reopen the Strait of Hormuz; India was not among them.

Criticisms

1. Donald Trump has used market-moving announcements as geopolitical tools, creating volatility that benefits those with advance knowledge while ordinary citizens bear the economic consequences.

2. Israeli leadership, particularly Benjamin Netanyahu, has consistently escalated this conflict while presenting it as America's war, seeking to trap the United States in a confrontation it never chose.

3. American media has failed to interrogate the discrepancy between Trump's claims of negotiations and Iran's consistent denials, treating presidential statements as news rather than subjects of verification.

4. Gulf monarchies have spent decades building cities dependent on desalination and imported energy while maintaining military forces incapable of defending their most critical infrastructure.

5. Western governments continue to demand freedom of navigation through the Strait of Hormuz while maintaining sanctions that deny Iran freedom of trade—a contradiction they refuse to acknowledge.

6. India's diplomatic posture of neutrality, while understandable given economic dependencies, offers no protection to its citizens or interests in a region where choosing not to choose is itself a choice with consequences.

7. Netanyahu's government has consistently undermined American diplomatic efforts, striking when the United States sought de-escalation, and treating American support as unconditional regardless of Israeli actions.

8. The Biden administration's failure to articulate a clear Middle East policy created the vacuum that allowed both Trump and Netanyahu to fill it with their own competing agendas.

9. European nations have been conspicuously absent from serious mediation efforts, issuing statements while leaving the actual work of de-escalation to regional powers like Turkey, Pakistan, and Oman.

10. The American political establishment, across both parties, has treated the Strait of Hormuz as a resource to be protected without acknowledging that the countries using it most are also the ones benefiting from sanctions that make Iran's cooperation impossible.

How Many Rhymes Does an Average 5 Year Old Know?

Index of English Lessons

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For a typical 5-year-old, there isn’t a fixed number, but most children know around 10–30 nursery rhymes.

Why this range varies:

• Exposure at home/school (rhymes are repeated a lot in preschool)

• Language environment (English, Hindi, bilingual, etc.)

• Interest level (some kids love repetition and memorize many more)

What’s considered normal:

• Minimum (basic exposure): ~5–10 rhymes

• Average range: ~10–30 rhymes

• High exposure / very engaged kids: 30+ rhymes

More important than the number:

At age 5, educators care more about:

• Recognizing rhythm and rhyme patterns

• Singing along confidently

• Remembering key lines (not necessarily perfect recall)

• Understanding simple meanings

So if a child knows even 10 rhymes well and enjoys them, that’s already a strong foundation 👍

If you want, I can suggest a structured rhyme list (English + Hindi) for your app or teaching use.

Gemini 3 Flash

While there isn't one "official" number that applies to every child, literacy experts and developmental psychologists generally use a specific benchmark to track progress:

The "8 by 4" Rule

The most widely cited metric in early childhood education (popularized by literacy expert Mem Fox) is that if a child knows 8 nursery rhymes by heart by the time they are 4 years old, they are significantly more likely to be among the best readers and spellers in their class by age 8.

By age 5, the average child has typically moved well beyond this number. While "average" is hard to pin down because exposure varies by household and school, most 5-year-olds in a preschool or kindergarten environment will know anywhere from 15 to 30 different rhymes, songs, and chants.

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What a 5-Year-Old "Knows" About Rhyming

At age 5, the focus shifts from simply memorizing rhymes to phonological awareness—understanding how sounds work. By this age, a child is typically expected to:

• Identify Rhymes: If you say "cat" and "bat," they can tell you that those words rhyme.

• Produce Rhymes: If you ask "What rhymes with 'hop'?", they can usually offer "top," "mop," or even a "nonsense" word like "zop."

• Predict Words: When you are reading a familiar rhyming book and pause before the last word (e.g., "The cat in the..."), they can fill in the blank.

• Identify the "Odd One Out": When given three words like "fan, pan, dog," they can identify "dog" as the one that doesn't fit.

Typical Rhymes and Songs

Most 5-year-olds will be familiar with "The Big Five" or "The Big Ten" standard nursery rhymes, such as:

1. Twinkle Twinkle Little Star

2. The Itsy Bitsy Spider

3. Baa Baa Black Sheep

4. Row, Row, Row Your Boat

5. Hickory Dickory Dock

6. The Wheels on the Bus

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Why Rhyming Counts

Rhyming isn't just a cute performance; it's a "mental playground" for reading. It teaches children to notice the phonemes (individual sounds) in words. For instance, realizing that "sheep" is made of sh-ee-p helps them decode words much faster when they start formal reading.

If you are looking for ways to boost a child's rhyming library, would you like me to suggest a few less common nursery rhymes or some quick rhyming games you can play on the go?

DeepSeek V3

There isn't a specific number for how many rhymes the "average" 5-year-old knows. Instead of a fixed count, child development experts describe this stage by the type of rhyming skills a child has developed --.

At this age, children are moving from simply enjoying rhymes to actively understanding and creating them. Here’s a breakdown of what this looks like:

Skill Level	What It Looks Like	Key Milestones
Recognizing Rhyme (Usually achieved by age 5)	Your child can identify when two words sound alike. They can successfully play a simple "matching" rhyming game.	- Identifies rhyming words (e.g., knows bat and cat rhyme) --. - Can pick out the word that doesn't belong in a rhyming set (e.g., cat, hat, big) -.
Producing Rhyme (Emerging around 5.5 years)	This is a more advanced skill. Your child can think of a rhyming word on their own when asked.	- Produces a word that rhymes with a given word (you say "ball," they say "tall") --. - Can list several words from a common "word family" (e.g., *-at*: cat, bat, sat) --.

Important Note: For a 5-year-old, this applies to spoken language. The ability to write these rhyming words, known as "invented spelling," is just beginning to develop --.

💡 How to Encourage Rhyming Skills

The most important thing to remember is that all children develop at their own pace. If your child is not yet producing rhymes, it's perfectly normal and nothing to worry about. You can encourage this skill through playful, low-pressure activities:

• Read Rhyming Books: Nursery rhymes and books with rhyming text are excellent for tuning a child's ear to language sounds -.

• Play Word Games: Simple games like "I Spy" with a rhyming twist ("I spy something that rhymes with 'cat'") make learning fun -.

• Make Silly Rhymes: Encourage your child to invent nonsense words that rhyme (e.g., "zat," "wat"). This shows they understand the concept of a rhyming sound without the pressure of using real words -.

I hope this gives you a clearer picture of the rhyming skills you can expect to see. Would you like me to suggest some fun rhyming games or book titles suitable for a 5-year-old?

Grok 4.20

There isn't a single, universally agreed-upon "average" number for how many rhymes an average 5-year-old knows, because it depends heavily on exposure (how often parents, preschool, or daycare sing or recite them). Kids pick them up through repetition at home or in group settings, and there's huge variation—some hear dozens daily, others far fewer.

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That said, the most commonly cited benchmark in early literacy research and expert advice (repeated across child development resources and often linked to author Mem Fox's work in Reading Magic) is this:
Children who know 8 nursery rhymes by heart by age 4 tend to become among the best readers and spellers by age 8.
This comes up in study after study and guide as a strong predictor of later reading success, because nursery rhymes build phonological awareness (understanding sounds, rhythm, and rhyme patterns).

berkeleyprimary.co.uk

By age 5 (kindergarten age), most kids with typical exposure know roughly 8–15+ nursery rhymes they can recite or sing along to (things like "Twinkle Twinkle," "Itsy Bitsy Spider," "Row Row Row Your Boat," "Humpty Dumpty," etc.). One older longitudinal study found that about a third of preschoolers (around age 3–4) already knew more than a dozen, and those kids went on to stronger reading outcomes.

sk.sagepub.com

If you mean rhyming words (not full nursery rhymes)This is a different skill (part of phonological awareness). By age 5, the average child:

• Can identify rhyming words (e.g., "Does 'cat' rhyme with 'hat' or 'dog'?").
• Can produce rhymes (e.g., given "bat," they might say "cat, hat, mat, sat").
• Often generates several real or nonsense rhymes per prompt.

Not every 5-year-old can do this perfectly yet—only about 60% reliably produce a rhyme on demand in some assessments—but most can play rhyming games and enjoy it. It's a milestone most kids hit between ages 3–5, with big individual differences.

readingrockets.org

Bottom lineExposure is everything—singing nursery rhymes daily (even just 10–15 minutes) dramatically boosts a child's rhyme knowledge and sets them up for reading. If you're wondering about a specific child, the exact number matters less than whether they're enjoying them and starting to play with sounds. Most 5-year-olds know enough to have fun with it! If you're concerned about development, chat with a pediatrician or speech-language pathologist.

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Humbly we prayed for food...

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HUMBLY WE PRAYED FOR FOOD... WITHIN AN HOUR A SEA GULL CAME AND LANDED ON MY HEAD

The men in the rubber life rafts were in a pretty bad way. Their plane, on a war mission in the Pacific, had been forced down eight days ago; and they had been drifting helplessly ever since, without food or water, in the scorching tropic sun. Their feet were blistered, their faces burned, their mouths and bodies parched. For eight days they had lived on four small oranges—no other food, and no water. The heat, the hunger, the exhaustion, had brought them close to the breaking point.

But not Captain Eddie Rickenbacker! He had been in tight places before, had come face to face with death several times in the past. And he alone refused to despair; he alone never gave up faith that they would be found and picked up, that somehow they would be saved.

For Eddie Rickenbacker believed in prayer. He had learned to pray as a child at his mother’s knee; and in all the crises of his life, prayer had given him comfort and courage, prayer had helped him through his difficulties. He firmly believed it would help him again in this emergency.

Most of the men in the rubber life rafts were young and inexperienced, facing their first great trial. They needed the strength and understanding he could give them out of his own experience. They needed the example of his great faith and trust, those unfailing resources that buttress a man from within and give him the endurance to face what he must. They needed the calming, comforting influence of prayer.

One of the men in his boat had a small Bible, and they took turns reading aloud from it every day. It was a reassurance from the very first that they were not alone, that God knew where they were and would take care of them.

Now, on the eighth day of hunger and thirst, the men were desperate. There was no sign of a boat or plane anywhere—nothing but the wide, empty, shining expanse of sea. One of the men was violently sick from drinking sea water. Some were beginning to show the first alarming signs of delirium. It was suggested that the following passage from Matthew be read to the men that day:

Therefore take no thought, saying, What shall we eat? or, What shall we drink? or, Wherewithal shall we be clothed? . . . for your heavenly Father knoweth that ye have need of all these things.

But seek ye first the kingdom of God, and His righteousness; and all these things shall be added unto you.

Take therefore no thought for the morrow; for the morrow shall take thought for the things of itself. Sufficient unto the day is the evil thereof.

What happened next seemed like a miracle to the suffering men, seemed like a direct answer to their prayer. And who can say it was not? A gull flew in out of nowhere and landed on Rickenbacker’s head. He reached up and caught it—and they had food. They ran into their first rainstorm—and they had water for drinking. Food and water! Their prayers had been answered! The experience filled the men with awe and astonishment, and there were no longer any unbelievers in the life rafts. From then on they prayed with new confidence, with strong new faith. From then on they believed with “Captain Eddie” that God was with them and that they would be saved.

And they were! They drifted for nearly two weeks longer—weak, emaciated, and in the end more nearly dead than alive—but still believing, and still expecting to be saved. And at last, on the twenty-first day of their ordeal, they were located by searching planes and picked up. It was a truly miraculous rescue, for the rafts were less than dots on the ocean’s surface and impossible to see from a distance. The planes had to fly almost directly above them to find them.

When news of the rescue was flashed around the world, people everywhere were thrilled and excited, for nearly everyone had given the men up for lost. But what moved people most was Rickenbacker’s simple, unaffected explanation: “We prayed.” The story, as told in his own words, went straight to the hearts of millions of people:

After we got going naturally we got to thinking about our food and water, but we didn’t dare go back to the ship for fear she would sink and suck us down with it. Then we ran into a five-day calm, which left the ocean like a mirror. It was beastly hot. . . . Our hands, face, and feet suffered particularly. . . .

We saw nothing in the way of searching planes or ships. The boy in my boat had an issue Bible in the pocket of his jumper, and the second day out we organized little evening and morning prayer meetings and took turn about reading passages from the Bible. Frankly and humbly we prayed for our deliverance. After the oranges were gone, we experienced terrific pangs of hunger, and we prayed for food.

We had a couple of little fish lines with hooks about the size of the end of my little finger, but no bait. Were it not for the fact that I have seven witnesses, I wouldn’t dare tell this story because it seems so fantastic. Within an hour after prayer meeting on the eighth day, a sea gull came out of nowhere and landed on my head. I reached up my hand very gently and got him. We wrung his head, feathered him, carved up his carcass and ate every bit, even the little bones. We distributed and used his innards for bait.*

Captain Cherry caught a little mackerel about six or eight inches long and I caught a little speckled sea bass about the same size, so we had food for a couple of days. . . .

That night we ran into our first rainstorm. Usually you try to avoid a black squall, but in this case we made it our business to get into it and catch water for drinking. . . . Later we were able to catch more water and build up our supply.

*There were originally eight men in the three tiny rubber lifeboats, which were fastened together with rope. One man died on the thirteenth day; but the other seven came safely through the ordeal.

The day this story appeared in the newspapers, people everywhere were noticeably affected by it. For it was far more than a story of courage and physical endurance, of which there were many in those tragic war years. It was an amazing demonstration of the power of prayer, one of the most thrilling sagas of faith in action to come out of World War II.

Every paper in the land picked up Rickenbacker’s story. Ministers preached sermons about it. Writers wrote glowing articles and editorials about it. Public figures discussed it from the lecture platform and over the radio.

“We prayed.”

There was almost a Biblical feeling to Rickenbacker’s words. He and his companions were lost at sea . . . they prayed . . . they were saved. It was as simple as that, and as inspiring. People who hadn’t prayed in years began to do so again. Some who had never prayed in their lives began to search their souls with a new questioning. Many who were anguished, bitter, and despairing, who had suffered profound grief during the war, felt the pain of their hearts ease and the bitterness leave them. It was as though something wonderful and fine had happened to everyone, everywhere . . . as indeed it had! Eddie Rickenbacker’s story enormously increased and intensified the feeling of faith in millions of hearts, and gave people courage and hope when they needed it most.

“I consider the story of how we prayed and how our prayers were answered the most important message I ever gave to the people of this country,” wrote Captain Rickenbacker in a personal communication with the author of this book.

It is far more than that. Captain Rickenbacker’s famous saga of the Pacific, revealing the power of faith to help men endure an almost unbelievable ordeal, is one of the truly great stories of the war . . . and one of the most inspiring.

Ask, and it shall be given you; seek, and ye shall find; knock, and it shall be opened unto you. — Matthew 7:7

All things, whatsoever ye shall ask in prayer, believing, ye shall receive. — Matthew 21:22

All who call on God in true faith, earnestly from the heart, will certainly be heard, and will receive what they have asked and desired. — Martin Luther

*
More things are wrought by prayer
Than this world dreams of. Wherefore, let thy voice
Rise like a fountain for me night and day.
For what are men better than sheep or goats
That nourish a blind life within the brain,
If, knowing God, they lift not hands of prayer
Both for themselves and those who call them friend?
— Alfred Tennyson

*
Prayer is not only worship; it is also an invisible emanation of man’s worshiping spirit—the most powerful form of energy that one can generate. The influence of prayer on the human mind and body is as demonstrable as that of secreting glands. Its results can be measured in terms of increased physical buoyancy, greater intellectual vigor, moral stamina, and a deeper understanding of the realities underlying human relationships.

If you make a habit of sincere prayer, your life will be very noticeably and profoundly altered. Prayer stamps with its indelible mark our actions and demeanor. A tranquillity of bearing, a facial and bodily repose, are observed in those whose inner lives are thus enriched. Within the depths of consciousness a flame kindles. And man sees himself. He discovers his selfishness, his silly pride, his fears, his greed, his blunders. He develops a sense of moral obligation, intellectual humility. Thus begins a journey of the soul toward the realm of grace.

Prayer is a force as real as terrestrial gravity. As a physician, I have seen men, after all other therapy has failed, lifted out of disease and melancholy by the serene effort of prayer. It is the only power in the world that seems to overcome the so-called “laws of nature”; the occasions on which prayer has dramatically done this have been termed “miracles.” But a constant, quieter miracle takes place hourly in the hearts of men and women who have discovered that prayer supplies them with a steady flow of sustaining power in their daily lives.

Too many people regard prayer as a formalized routine of words, a refuge for weaklings, or a childish petition for material things. We sadly undervalue prayer when we conceive it in these terms, just as we should underestimate rain by describing it as something that fills the birdbath in our garden. Properly understood, prayer is a mature activity indispensable to the fullest development of personality—the ultimate integration of man’s highest faculties. Only in prayer do we achieve that complete and harmonious assembly of body, mind, and spirit which gives the frail human reed its unshakable strength.

— Alexis Carrel

*
Oft have I seen at some cathedral door
A laborer, pausing in the dust and heat,
Lay down his burden, and with reverent feet
Enter, and cross himself, and on the floor
Kneel to repeat his paternoster o’er;
Far off the noises of the world retreat;
The loud vociferations of the street
Become an undistinguishable roar.
So, as I enter here from day to day,
And leave my burden at this minster gate,
Kneeling in prayer, and not ashamed to pray,
The tumult of the time disconsolate
To inarticulate murmurs dies away,
While the eternal ages watch and wait.
— Henry Wadsworth Longfellow

*
The sovereign cure for worry is prayer.

— William James

Taken from the chapter: "Humbly We Prayed for Food" by Eddie Rickenbacker from the book "Light from Many Lamps"

End Notes

"Sufficient unto the day is the evil thereof" is a biblical phrase (Matthew 6:34) advising against worrying about future problems

. It means each day brings enough troubles, challenges, or "evil" (adversity) to handle on its own, so one should focus only on present difficulties rather than borrowing future anxiety. 

Key Aspects of the Phrase: 

• Origin: Spoken by Jesus in the Sermon on the Mount, found in Matthew 6:34.
• Meaning of "Evil": In this context, "evil" does not mean evil in a moral sense, but rather trouble, worry, pain, or adversity.
• Core Message: Do not borrow trouble from tomorrow. Focus on the present moment, as today has enough challenges to deal with, and tomorrow will bring its own challenges
  .
   

Usage Examples: 

• "I know you're worried about next year's budget, but sufficient unto the day is the evil thereof," meaning focus on current issues.
• "Let's not stress about the upcoming move; sufficient unto the day is the evil thereof
• "The deadline is weeks away. I'm focusing on today's tasks; sufficient unto the day is the evil thereof 

Synonyms & Related Phrases: 

• Live in the moment / Live in the present.
• One day at a time.
• Don't borrow trouble.
• Take no thought for the morrow (from the same verse).
• Cross that bridge when you come to it.