Thursday, August 28, 2025

Raghuram Rajan Warns: Trump’s 50% Tariffs Are India’s Wake-Up Call to Rethink Trade

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5 Key Takeaways

  • Raghuram Rajan calls the US's 50% tariffs on India a 'wake-up call' and evidence that India-US relations have 'clearly broken down'.
  • India is at a disadvantage because its base tariffs are set at 25%, higher than those of other Asian countries.
  • Rajan warns against over-dependence on any single country and urges India to diversify trade partners and pursue reforms for higher growth.
  • He believes Trump's tariffs are less about fairness and more about power play, with India being specifically targeted.
  • Rajan suggests India should reconsider its Russian oil purchases if the benefits do not outweigh the costs imposed by US tariffs.

Why Raghuram Rajan Thinks Trump’s 50% Tariffs Are a Wake-Up Call for India

Recently, former Reserve Bank of India (RBI) Governor Raghuram Rajan made headlines by calling the United States’ new 50% tariffs on Indian goods a “wake-up call” for India. But what does this really mean for India, and why is it such a big deal?

What’s Happening?

The US, under Donald Trump, has decided to slap a massive 50% tariff (a kind of tax) on products coming from India. Rajan says this is a clear sign that the relationship between India and the US has “broken down.” In simple terms, things are not going well between the two countries when it comes to trade.

Why Is This a Problem for India?

Rajan points out that India is at a disadvantage because the US has set a base tariff of 25% for Indian goods, while other Asian countries face much lower rates. This means Indian products become more expensive in the US, making it harder for Indian businesses to compete. According to Rajan, this is not just about fairness anymore—it’s about power and politics.

Why Did Trump Do This?

Rajan explains that Trump believes the US is losing out because it buys more from other countries than it sells to them (this is called a trade deficit). Trump sees this as other countries taking advantage of the US, even though American consumers benefit from cheaper goods. Rajan also says that India has been specifically targeted by these tariffs.

What Should India Do Now?

Rajan warns that India should not rely too much on any one country, including the US. Instead, he suggests India should look for new trade partners in Europe, Africa, and other parts of Asia. He also says India needs to make big changes (reforms) at home to boost economic growth and create jobs for its young population.

The Russian Oil Issue

One reason Trump gave for the high tariffs is India’s purchase of oil from Russia. Rajan says India needs to carefully consider if buying this oil is really worth it, since the benefits may not outweigh the costs, especially if exporters are losing money because of the new tariffs.

Final Thoughts

Raghuram Rajan’s message is clear: India needs to be smart and cautious in its trade deals, especially with powerful countries like the US. The new tariffs are a warning sign that India must diversify its trade partners and focus on strengthening its own economy to face these global challenges.


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