Tuesday, July 14, 2026

The Fall of Six Prime Ministers and the Fortress of Indian Power

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The Fall of Six Prime Ministers and the Fortress of Indian Power

Britain is about to welcome its seventh prime minister in a decade. Keir Starmer, who swept to power with a landslide just two years ago, has resigned. His approval rating plunged to a catastrophic minus 45 per cent, and his own party has forced him out. Before him came Rishi Sunak, Liz Truss, Boris Johnson, Theresa May, and David Cameron — a cascade of prime ministerial downfalls that tells us less about individual failure and far more about the machinery of accountability. For anyone in India who has forgotten the name or face of a single one of these former PMs, rest assured, the fault is not yours. The revolving door at 10 Downing Street has spun so fast that it has blurred into a spectacle. Yet within that spectacle lies a brutal democratic logic — one that stands in chilling contrast to the political culture we have normalised under the present government in New Delhi.

The Brexit Dominoes: A Quick Tour of a Decade of Collapses

The trail of departures began with the 2016 referendum. David Cameron staked his premiership on remaining in the European Union, lost, and resigned immediately. Theresa May succeeded him, Britain’s second female prime minister, but could not get her Brexit deal through parliament despite three attempts. Her cabinet ministers mutinied, the government collapsed, and Boris Johnson rode the chaos into power on a promise to “get Brexit done.”

Johnson did deliver Brexit, but then came the revelations of Downing Street parties during the Covid lockdown. When that news leaked, the nation was stunned. An investigation was launched, yet Johnson refused to leave until a sexual misconduct scandal engulfed his own parliamentary conduct. His ministers resigned en masse, and he was gone. Liz Truss entered and lasted forty-nine days — the briefest tenure in British history. Her mini‑budget triggered such economic turmoil and public fury that even the lettuce famously outlasted her. Then came Rishi Sunak. He gambled on a general election and lost, in part because of his bizarre plan to fly asylum seekers to Rwanda. It is worth noting that Sunak’s photograph appeared more frequently in Hindi newspapers in India than Nehru’s is remembered today — a tragicomic marker of misplaced attention.

After Sunak, the Labour Party won a thumping majority in June 2024. Starmer became prime minister, and in less than two years he has become yet another ex‑prime minister. The British public, battered by rising unemployment, inflation exacerbated by the Iran conflict, and a cost‑of‑living crisis, tired of him. His approval rating collapsed. The party rebelled. He had no option but to resign.

The Machinery That Forces Accountability

Why do prime ministers fall so frequently in Britain? The answer is not always ideological collapse. It is the relentlessness of democratic institutions. A British prime minister has to face press conferences. That may sound obvious, but reflect on the fact that India’s prime minister has not held a single press conference since assuming office in 2014. Starmer could not ignore newspapers; he could not hide from cameras. He had to answer questions in real time, and the press, however flawed, kept watch.

Select committees in the House of Commons scrutinise government decisions with forensic energy. Opinion polls constantly gauge the public pulse, and that pulse is not ignored. When a leader’s approval rating crosses into negative territory so deeply that the party’s electoral prospects are threatened, the internal machinery of the party itself begins to act. The British system does not have an anti‑defection law. A Member of Parliament who votes against the whip does not lose their seat or face disqualification; they are suspended at most. This means the government can genuinely fall if enough of its own MPs turn against it — something that happened to Boris Johnson and, later, contributed to Starmer’s undoing.

Additionally, Britain’s opposition forms a shadow cabinet. There is a shadow prime minister and shadow ministers for every portfolio. They are not token figures; they are expected to question, challenge, and present themselves as a government‑in‑waiting. This institutional pressure leaves no room for the arrogance of unchallenged power.

The Farage Factor and the Trap of Appeasement

Amid this chaos, a familiar demon has been swelling — Nigel Farage and his Reform UK party. Born in 2018, Farage’s outfit is now surging. They have captured 1,454 council seats and control 14 local councils. Farage peddles the typical far‑right cocktail: anti‑immigration rhetoric, deep tax cuts, denial of climate change mitigation, and often outright xenophobia. His rallies attract milkshake‑throwing protesters — a sign of public anger, not a healthy reflex. Yet Reform UK’s rise is not merely a story of British bigotry; it is a textbook example of what happens when mainstream parties try to mimic the far right.

Starmer, terrified of Farage’s momentum, abandoned progressive policies and began sounding like a soft echo of nativist talking points. He tightened immigration rhetoric, skirted green pledges, and drifted rightward. The result was that voters could no longer distinguish him from the genuine article — and they flocked to Farage. The same tragic script unfolded in the United States. Kamala Harris, in the 2024 presidential election, began co‑opting Trumpian themes on immigration and energy production, even campaigning with ex‑Republican representatives. Her surrender of progressive ground only emboldened the far right, and she lost. When a centrist leader lets the far right set the agenda, the far right wins — not at the ballot box but in the battle of ideas, which subsequently translates into electoral gains. Britain is now staring at that danger.

A Tale of Two Democracies: The Accountability Gap

To truly understand the chasm, place the two systems side by side.

DimensionUnited KingdomIndia (Modi era)
Prime Ministerial Press ConferencesRegular, often weekly. Facing media is non‑negotiable.None since 2014. The PM avoids all press interactions.
Anti‑Defection LawDoes not exist. MPs can vote against their party without losing their seat.Strictly enforced. Dissent leads to disqualification. MPs are reduced to mute followers.
Party WhipExist, but defying it does not end a parliamentary career. Backbenchers frequently rebel.Absolute. The whip is an instrument of total control. Even parliamentary committees are neutered by it.
Shadow CabinetFormalised institution. Opposition is a mirror government, forcing accountability.Absent. The opposition is fragmented, often silenced, and cannot mirror the executive meaningfully.
Parliamentary SessionsIn 2025, a single session ran for 150 days.Often truncated; recent sessions have seen fewer than 7 days of actual sitting, with bills bulldozed without discussion.
Leadership Change MechanismInternal party rules, followed by contests and votes. When the leader loses confidence, they are removed — often brutally, but democratically.Resignations occur only when the party high command decides. They are often cosmetic, aimed at rebranding, not at owning failure.
Media ScrutinyAggressive, even absurd: The Economist once compared Liz Truss’s tenure to a lettuce, and the meme became a national conversation. No law punishes satire.Journalists face UAPA, sedition, and intimidation. Satire is a dangerous occupation. A similar lettuce comparison could land a publication in court or worse.

The British prime minister, despite all the imperfections of that democracy, cannot run from answerability. No one in India’s ruling establishment is forced to even stand still and be questioned. The contrast is not a minor nuance; it is the difference between power that must be earned daily and power that has been taken for granted.

The Indian Silence: Where Resignations Lost Their Meaning

India’s political history has known moments of genuine accountability through resignation. Lal Bahadur Shastri resigned as Railway Minister after a train accident, taking moral responsibility — a standard that remains unmatched. The Kamaraj Plan of the 1960s saw senior Congress leaders voluntarily resign from ministerial posts to reconnect with the grassroots, because it was believed that power had insulated them from the people. V.P. Singh resigned from Rajiv Gandhi’s cabinet on principle, and later, as Prime Minister, he implemented the Mandal Commission report knowing it would cost him the office; the BJP withdrew support, but he accepted the consequence rather than cling to power by abandoning the policy.

Now, look at the present dispensation. Chief ministers have been changed in BJP‑ruled states — Trivendra Singh Rawat, Vijay Rupani, B.S. Yediyurappa, Sarbananda Sonowal — but their resignations were internal musical chairs, not admissions of failure. When the Ram Temple consecration was accompanied by a stampede, no one resigned. When massive paper leaks destroyed the futures of millions of students, no minister stepped down. When the ethanol policy blunder was flagrant, the blame was deflected onto others. The Prime Minister’s office simply does not answer. The whip system has made the MP’s individual voice a relic. It is not that MPs do not think; it is that we will never know what they think, because speaking out invites swift disqualification. The anti‑defection law, originally meant to prevent governments from falling due to horse‑trading, has become a tool to kill intra‑party dissent. The political stability India once achieved through the 1985 anti‑defection law has now given way to a silent, brittle authoritarianism.

A Media That Could Have Held Power — And Chose Not To

British media is far from perfect. Oligarch ownership, tabloid excess, and political bias are rampant. Yet the sheer vigour with which it holds the prime minister’s feet to the fire cannot be dismissed. Recall the Economist’s lettuce — a vegetable used to mock the fleeting prime minister, an idea that went so viral that it became a national barometer. In India, any publication attempting such a critique of the prime minister would face a probe under UAPA, and its existence would hang by a thread. Hindi newspapers would rather print glossy photographs of Rishi Sunak’s Indian origins than ask why their own prime minister remains inaccessible. The timidity is structural, enforced by a hostile regime that labels every challenge as sedition. A free press is not a luxury that Britain alone can afford; it is the oxygen of accountability. In India, that oxygen has been pumped out of the room, and the suffocation is now normal.

What Does This Tell Us About Power?

The British experience is not a fairy tale. It is messy, often farcical, and frustrating. Yet every prime minister who fell was forced out by a combination of public anger, party ethics, institutional checks, and a media that could not be silenced. Starmer’s departure is not a failure of democracy; it is democracy’s brutal, corrective pulse. In India, the machinery of accountability has been so thoroughly dismantled that the notion of a leader facing consequences for failure seems almost quaint. The whip, the absent press conference, the defanged opposition, the tamed media — these are not accidents. They are pillars of a system that has made power immune to the people.

If democracy is to mean anything, it must retain the ability to throw out those who fail. Britain’s revolving door may be dizzying, but it is a door that still turns. In India, we have replaced the door with a fortress wall. That is not stability. It is stagnation in the guise of strength.

Criticisms

  • - Press conferences have not been held by the Prime Minister since 2014, denying the public direct accountability.
  • - The anti-defection law has been weaponized to silence all internal dissent within parties, reducing MPs to obedient numbers.
  • - Parliamentary sessions have been drastically shortened, with bills passed without adequate debate or scrutiny.
  • - The appointment and removal of chief ministers are dictated by the party high command, not by democratic failings or popular mandate.
  • - Media organisations have been intimidated through laws like UAPA, and journalistic independence has been severely curtailed.
  • - No resignation on moral grounds has been tendered for major governance failures, including paper leaks and stampedes.
  • - The centralisation of power in the Prime Minister’s Office has eroded the collective functioning of the cabinet.
  • - A culture of silence has been enforced within the ruling party, where even elected representatives fear expressing dissent.
  • - The rise of far-right discourse globally has been met with appeasement rather than principled opposition, both in Britain and the United States, a pattern that only strengthens extremism.
  • - Public trust in democratic institutions has been systematically eroded by the refusal to answer legitimate questions.

Rethinking Housing: From Commodity to Community

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Rethinking Housing: From Commodity to Community

My grandfather was, and at 94 still is, my greatest hero. Born poor and mixed-race in 1930s Nebraska, he seemed to bend the universe to his will through sheer charisma and grit. A championship wrestler, Eagle Scout, and later a Harvard-trained physician, he embodied the American promise: that determination can overcome exclusion. His ultimate measure of success, however, was real estate—owning physical ground. As a child of the Depression, he understood that people who looked like him had been systematically locked out of property ownership, the very thing that grants a voice in your own destiny. So he poured everything he earned into buying land. But without deep pockets or inherited connections, he was outmaneuvered by better-financed competitors and lost nearly everything.

His story is not unique. It exposes a core tension at the heart of the American Dream: we treat housing—a basic human need for shelter—as a financial asset, an investment vehicle whose primary purpose is to generate profit for owners. What if we refused to think of housing that way? What if, instead of allowing a few to extract maximum returns from a life-sustaining necessity, we dedicated ourselves to ensuring everyone had a safe, stable place to call home? How much human potential drains away when people must fight predatory housing markets rather than live fully?

The Disturbing Math: Empty Units and Unhoused Lives

On a single night in January 2024, the U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development counted over 771,000 people experiencing homelessness in the wealthiest country that has ever existed. Simultaneously, nearly 15 million housing units sat vacant across the United States. The contradiction is staggering: millions of empty dwellings and hundreds of thousands without shelter. This isn't a glitch; it's a feature of a system that treats homes as speculative commodities.

I felt this absurdity personally. In early 2010, during the Great Recession, my family had to move abruptly when the rent became unaffordable. I remember staring out the car window at a massive, newly built condo development—nearly finished but ghostly empty. Its developer had halted construction because the subprime mortgage crash had obliterated demand for luxury condos. To him, the project wasn't financially viable anymore. To my ten-year-old mind, it made no sense: news reports showed families losing homes while gleaming, unused apartments loomed right there.

When Home Becomes an Asset: The Trap of Commodification

Zoom out, and the picture crystallizes. Our housing crisis isn't about simple shortages; it's the consequence of turning shelter into a financial asset. When homes are treated as investments, well-capitalized corporations and investors are incentivized to buy up as much stock as possible—demand for a life-sustaining good is inelastic, guaranteeing returns. This creates a split incentive between tenants, who seek affordable, quality living conditions, and landlords, who aim to maximize returns by raising rents while cutting costs like maintenance and repairs.

Moreover, the market isn't a textbook equilibrium of supply and demand. Large-scale property owners with enough regional market share can unilaterally set rents and keep their units artificially scarce to drive up the value of what they already own. Tenants, in contrast, are forced into an impossible choice: pay more for less, gamble in a broader market increasingly devoured by predatory players, or face eviction. The knowledge my grandfather carried—that you lack fundamental control over your life if you lack control over your housing—now haunts tens of millions of Americans.

The Power Imbalance: Landlords vs. Tenants

It's crucial to distinguish between the local “mom-and-pop” landlord and the corporate giants. A responsible small-scale owner with a handful of units, who maintains properties, reinvests rent, and negotiates face-to-face, operates on a far more balanced playing field. The predatory dynamic emerges with large-scale landlords—often anonymized through layers of LLCs—who are unreachable when the heat fails but unmistakably present when rent is due. Their power comes from treating housing as a cash cow, not a home.

Yet, that rent is also the linchpin of the whole system. It's the investor's ROI, the mortgage payment on the property. And that's where tenants, following the legacy of labor unions, find their leverage. If workers can withhold labor to force fair wages, tenants can organize collectively to demand decent conditions. By standing together, they transform from isolated supplicants into a unified force that landlords—no matter how large—cannot ignore.

A Union of Neighbors: The Tenant-Led Solution

Tenant unions are not a hypothetical. In 2026, the International Tenants Union will celebrate its 100th anniversary, founded in Zurich to inspire such organizing worldwide. In Brazil, the Landless Workers' Movement (MST) pioneered autonomous agricultural cooperatives, influencing urban housing movements. In the United States, tenants from Connecticut to Montana, Missouri, Kentucky, and Illinois have formed a national federation to support and scale up these transformative organizations.

Here in Connecticut, I've witnessed the extraordinary metamorphosis that happens when neighbors unite. Elderly residents, between doctor's appointments and grandkids' visits, organized to force landlords to invest millions in repairs, turning dilapidated buildings into dignified homes. Over a hundred tenants spent five winter months picketing and holding press conferences after an electrical fire, ensuring every displaced person was safely rehoused. Tenant unions have prevented hundreds of evictions, saved members tens of thousands in rent and medical bills, and compelled landlords to negotiate in good faith.

These successes happen because tenants recognize their interconnectedness as a strength. A lease is a bilateral contract, but it's only equal when both parties have real power. A union transforms a group of vulnerable individuals into a collective capable of negotiating as equals, demanding maintenance, reasonable rents, and a voice in the conditions that shape their lives.

Envisioning a Better Future

Picture waking up in a community that has taken control of its own housing. You step outside to walk with neighbors to the garden or greenhouse you've planted together. Berries from that garden go into a blender powered by solar panels your union installed on the roofs. When something breaks, you know who to call—and it gets fixed. When challenges arise, you have a seat at the table to address them. Because you're saving hundreds in rent, you can spend at local businesses and participate in civic life instead of working three jobs just to survive. You can plan for the future with stability, even age in place, surrounded by a community that shares the load.

This isn't utopian fantasy. It's the reality tenant unions are constructing here in Connecticut and around the world. By taking housing out of the hands of speculators and slumlords and placing it back in the hands of communities, we cultivate conditions where everyone can truly thrive.

Key Takeaways: From Vulnerability to Collective Power

  • Housing is a human necessity, not a commodity. Treating it purely as an investment drives inequality and instability.
  • Vacancy alongside homelessness proves the market has failed; supply alone won't solve a problem rooted in power imbalances.
  • Large corporate landlords maximize profit by minimizing costs and leveraging market control; individual tenants have little bargaining power alone.
  • Tenant unions offer a proven, democratic alternative—neighbors organizing to demand fair leases, repairs, and dignity.
  • Collective action shifts the dynamic: landlords must negotiate with a unified group, not isolated, intimidated individuals.
  • The movement is growing nationally and globally, demonstrating scalable models for housing justice.

Comparing Housing Models: Market-Driven vs. Community-Centered

Aspect Market-Driven (Commodity) Community-Centered (Right)
Primary Goal Maximize investor profit Ensure safe, stable homes for all
Tenant-Landlord Relationship Transactional, often adversarial; landlord holds overwhelming power Negotiated, balanced through tenant unions; face-to-face accountability
Decision-Making Landlord unilaterally sets rent, maintenance level Tenants collectively bargain for fair terms, renovations, and community investments
Outcome Rising homelessness, chronic housing insecurity, under-maintained properties Stable homes, lower rent burden, empowered residents, thriving local economies

My grandfather was right: true control over your life requires control over your home. But the traditional path—individual homeownership—is increasingly out of reach. We must forge alternatives that embrace our interdependence. Tenant unions prove that by uniting with those who share our built environment, we can reclaim our homes, our lives, and build the world we deserve.

“If we take control of our rents together with our neighbors and demand the basic decency of direct negotiation, then our landlords, however large, however powerful, have no choice but to come to the table.”
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The Hidden Calculus Behind 11-Month Rent Agreements

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The Hidden Calculus Behind 11-Month Rent Agreements

From cramped metros to sprawling suburbs, the number of people living on rent is swelling across the globe. With this surge, the rental market has evolved into a complex ecosystem where power often tilts heavily in favour of the property owner. At the heart of this dynamic sits a single piece of paper — the rental agreement. It is meant to balance the scales, to give both the landlord and the tenant clear legal rights and responsibilities. Yet all too often, it is signed in a hurry, skimmed at best, and its clauses come back to haunt one party months later. In this post, we dissect the five critical sections of a rent agreement that deserve your undivided attention, and then unravel the widespread 11-month puzzle that has become an open secret in Indian real estate.

The Art of the Rent Amount

The obvious starting point is the figure itself. Before you put pen to paper, verify that the monthly rent printed in the agreement matches exactly what was orally negotiated. Discrepancies — whether innocent or deliberate — are not uncommon. But beyond the current number lies a far more consequential clause: the escalation schedule. Every well-drafted agreement should spell out when and by how much the rent can be increased. A landlord who plans to hike the rent annually, or after 11 months, may bake that into the agreement language. If the escalation mechanism is vague or absent, you could be in for an unpleasant surprise. Typically, Indian landlords favour 11-month contracts precisely because it gives them a recurring window to renegotiate — a tactic we will return to.

Lock-in Periods and the Cost of an Early Exit

A tenancy agreement usually comes with a fixed term — 11 months, two years, three years — but life rarely sticks to such timelines. What happens if the tenant needs to move out early, or if the landlord suddenly demands the property back? The lock-in clause governs this. It may stipulate that the tenant forfeits the security deposit, or pays a penalty, if they leave before the term ends. Conversely, a landlord wanting premature possession may be obligated to compensate the tenant. A one-sided lock-in that ties only the tenant while leaving the landlord free to evict at will is a red flag. Mutual fairness here prevents financial shocks.

Unwritten Rules: Pets, Parking, and Food Preferences

Many agreements contain a section of "dos and don'ts" that extends well beyond property maintenance. Landlords sometimes insert restrictions on keeping pets, on using a parking space that was implicitly part of the deal, or even on dietary choices — a clause barring non-vegetarian cooking is not unheard of in certain Indian societies. These restrictions, if hidden in legalese, can become a source of daily friction. Read this portion with the same seriousness you would give to the rent amount. A landlord has the right to protect her property, but a tenant also has the right to live without arbitrary moral policing.

The Security Deposit Trap

Security deposits range from a month’s rent to a whopping 10 months’ rent, depending on the city and the landlord’s appetite. The amount itself is one thing; the conditions for its refund are another. Does the agreement clearly state when the deposit will be returned? What constitutes "damage"? Who pays for normal wear and tear? An alarming number of disputes arise because landlords deduct exorbitant sums for minor scuffs or repainting, often without producing receipts. Insist that the agreement explicitly lists the refund timeline, the modes of deduction, and the requirement for proof of expenses. Without this, the deposit is less a security and more a hostage sum.

The 11-Month Riddle Unplugged

Why do Indian landlords overwhelmingly prefer 11-month rent agreements? The answer is a cocktail of legal convenience and financial opportunism. Under Section 17 of the Registration Act, 1908, any lease of immovable property for a term exceeding one year — that is, 12 months or more — must be compulsorily registered with the sub-registrar. Registration attracts stamp duty and a registration fee, which can be substantial. By capping the tenure at 11 months, landlords sidestep this requirement entirely. The agreement can be executed on a simple stamp paper, with no need for government registration. This saves money and keeps the tenancy informal.

But the 11-month cycle serves a second, deliberate purpose: it gives landlords a lever to raise the rent annually. Every 11 months, the contract expires, and both parties sit down at the negotiating table again. For the landlord, it is a chance to reassess market rates; for the tenant, it means zero long-term security. On the flip side, it also offers the tenant an exit — if the house no longer suits, they can walk away without breaking a longer lock-in. This dual-edged sword explains why the practice persists despite its obvious tilt in favour of the property owner.

Conclusion

A rental agreement is not a mere formality. It is a legally binding contract that can protect or betray you. The five checkpoints — rent amount and escalation, early termination rules, lifestyle restrictions, security deposit refund terms, and the length of the contract — form the skeleton of a fair deal. Understanding why your landlord insists on 11 months arms you with the knowledge to negotiate better terms or, at the very least, to avoid the pitfalls of an unregistered, one-sided arrangement.

Facts

- The Registration Act, 1908, Section 17, makes it mandatory to register any lease of immovable property from year to year, or for any term exceeding one year (12 months).
- An 11-month agreement does not require registration, thus saving stamp duty and registration fees.
- Security deposit amounts vary from one month’s rent to as high as 10 months’ rent in some Indian cities.
- A rental agreement can legally include clauses on pets, parking, and food preferences, so long as they do not violate constitutional rights or public policy.
- Lock-in periods and early termination penalties are enforceable only if explicitly laid out in the contract.

Criticisms

- Landlords routinely exploit the 11-month loophole to evade statutory registration charges and to keep tenancies insecure, renegotiating rent to their advantage every year.
- The government has done little to simplify the registration process or offer digital, affordable alternatives, pushing both parties into the grey zone of unregistered agreements.
- Arbitrary lifestyle restrictions — especially those targeting dietary choices or pet ownership — are often tools of social discrimination, dressed up as property rules.
- Security deposit clauses remain overwhelmingly landlord-friendly; the burden of proof for damages falls on the tenant, with no standardized, enforceable refund timeline.
- Tenants’ collective bargaining power is weak; a shortage of rental housing and high demand force many to accept unfair contracts without questioning the fine print.

Freebies Are Not India’s Fiscal Villain — The Real Problem Is How States Pay for Them

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Freebies Are Not India’s Fiscal Villain — The Real Problem Is How States Pay for Them

Every election season, a familiar script plays out. Political parties dangle cash transfers, free electricity, and subsidized services before voters, while commentators sound the alarm: India’s states are hurtling toward a debt crisis, driven by populist freebies. But the widely accepted narrative masks a more complex reality. When you look beyond the political noise and examine the data, India’s state finances tell a story that is both reassuring and deeply troubling — not because of the freebies themselves, but because of the way they are being financed.

The Fiscal Deficit Mirage

For years, the combined fiscal deficit of all states has hovered around the 3% of GDP mark, excluding the pandemic shock. That’s well within the borrowing limits set by fiscal responsibility laws. If you stop there, the alarm bells seem false. States, as a whole, appear disciplined. But focusing on the headline deficit is misleading. To understand the real fiscal health, you have to dig into how the borrowing is being used.

Revenue vs. Capital: The Crucial Divide

Borrowing to build a road, a hospital, or an irrigation project is fundamentally different from borrowing to pay salaries, pensions, or welfare bills. The first creates assets that can spur future growth and generate returns. The second simply finances today’s consumption. This is where the concept of the revenue deficit comes in — the gap between a state’s current income and its current spending. A state that runs a revenue deficit is effectively taking on debt to cover its day-to-day expenses. A state with a revenue surplus, even if it has a high fiscal deficit, is borrowing primarily for capital formation.

The good news is that, taken together, Indian states have kept their combined revenue deficit below 1% of GDP for most of the past fifteen years, and they even ran a revenue surplus for three of those years. This aggregate picture suggests that much of the borrowing has been channelled into productive assets. But national aggregates are dangerous things; they hide glaring state-level fissures.

The Stark Divides Between States

A handful of states — Punjab, Himachal Pradesh, West Bengal, Kerala, and Rajasthan — stand out. Their debt levels are well above the comfort zone, and most of them are also running sizable revenue deficits. That means a significant portion of their borrowing is being consumed by salaries, pensions, and interest payments, leaving very little room for capital spending. It is in these states that the warning about freebies begins to find real traction, because welfare promises are increasingly being met through borrowed money rather than through tax buoyancy or expenditure rationalisation.

Contrast that with Odisha. On the surface, Odisha projects a relatively high fiscal deficit, yet it has consistently maintained a revenue surplus for years. It funds its welfare schemes largely from its own revenues. The fiscal deficit, in Odisha’s case, is a sign of investment, not profligacy. Maharashtra presents yet another picture: its total debt is still within manageable limits, but its revenue deficit has been swelling, partly due to welfare spending. It’s a warning sign that even a relatively comfortable state can drift into precarious territory if it loses sight of the revenue-capital distinction.

The lesson here is blunt: freebies alone do not determine a state’s fiscal health. What matters is the quality of the financing behind them.

The Rapid Rise of Unconditional Cash Transfers

This distinction has become urgent because of the breakneck expansion of unconditional cash transfer schemes. Their combined cost has skyrocketed from just 0.01% of GDP in FY21 to a projected 0.57% in FY26. The number of states offering such schemes has grown from one to twelve in the same period. Every new promise widens the scrutiny on state finances, because the fiscal room to accommodate these doles must come from somewhere. If they are paid for out of buoyant revenues, they remain sustainable. If they are added to an already strained revenue account, they accelerate the drift toward a debt trap.

The Real Debate

Political discourse habitually frames freebies as the villain. But that framing is lazy. The real fracture line is not between welfare and no welfare, but between states that have the revenue capacity to fund their promises and those that resort to borrowing for consumption. As long as the public debate remains stuck on the morality or electoral appeal of freebies, it misses the more urgent structural question: how can India’s federal fiscal architecture penalise revenue-deficit financing and reward states that maintain a clean revenue account? Until then, the aggregate numbers will keep lulling us into complacency while individual states silently steer toward a cliff. The real freebie, it turns out, is the lack of honesty about the quality of public finances.

Facts

  • The combined fiscal deficit of Indian states has remained around 3% of GDP for over a decade, except during the pandemic.
  • States have kept their combined revenue deficit below 1% of GDP for most of the last fifteen years, and even ran a revenue surplus for three years.
  • Highly indebted states like Punjab, Himachal Pradesh, West Bengal, Kerala, and Rajasthan are running sizable revenue deficits.
  • Odisha has projected a high fiscal deficit but has consistently maintained a revenue surplus.
  • Maharashtra’s debt is still manageable, but its revenue deficit has been rising.
  • The cost of unconditional cash transfers by states rose from 0.01% of GDP in FY21 to 0.57% in FY26; the number of states offering such schemes increased from 1 to 12.

Criticisms

  • You, the political class, weaponise freebies as a vote-buying mechanism without coupling them with the revenue reforms needed to foot the bill sustainably.
  • State governments whose finances are frayed hide behind the comfortable all-states average, dodging accountability for their revenue deficits.
  • Mainstream commentary and media coverage routinely equate all welfare spending with fiscal irresponsibility, ignoring the fundamental difference between capital investment and revenue consumption.
  • The current fiscal responsibility framework fails to penalise revenue-deficit financing strongly enough, creating a moral hazard that rewards short-term populism.
  • No central agency or institution provides a clear, standardised public metric that separates states borrowing for assets from states borrowing for salaries — a gap that lets fiscal decay fester in plain sight.

Standing Tall at Three Feet: The Unyielding Journey of Dr. Ganesh Bareya

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Standing Tall at Three Feet: The Unyielding Journey of Dr. Ganesh Bareya

In a world that often measures capability by physical stature, Dr. Ganesh Devoben Vithalbhai Bareya has spent a lifetime proving that the human spirit cannot be confined to centimeters and kilograms. Standing just three feet tall and weighing 20 kilograms, he is today a medical officer at the Civil Hospital in Bhavnagar, Gujarat — but his path to the white coat was paved with unimaginable obstacles, relentless grit, and a historic legal victory.

A Father’s Defiant Love

Ganesh was born into a humble family in rural Gujarat. Not long after his birth, a circus owner approached his father with an offer that many in dire poverty might have considered: five lakh rupees in exchange for the child. It was a moment that could have defined his life as a spectacle. Instead, his father refused, choosing love over money. That decision became the foundation on which Ganesh built his destiny. He often recalls this as his first and most crucial inspiration — a paternal refusal to let his son be reduced to a commodity.

The Long Walk to School

Education was never handed to him. His primary school was five kilometers from his remote village. Each morning began with a trek that would exhaust any child, but for Ganesh, whose physical condition made every step a negotiation with pain, it was monumental. There were no special accommodations, no accessible transport — just sheer will. He would return home, body aching, only to sit with his books under the dim light of a kerosene lamp. The journey continued through secondary and higher secondary school. The community watched with a mix of scepticism and wonder, but Ganesh kept moving — one painful step at a time — until he cleared his 12th-standard examinations with determination, not just passing but preparing himself for the ultimate test: the National Eligibility cum Entrance Test (NEET).

When a Dream Was Denied

Despite clearing NEET, the real battle had just begun. When he applied for admission to an MBBS program, the medical council panel rejected him outright, citing his disability. The same medical establishment that would one day benefit from his service had decided his body was unfit to serve. Ganesh sank into a deep despair. He had spent years visualising himself as a doctor; suddenly that dream seemed eternally out of reach. There were no visible rays of hope. The very system that was meant to heal had broken him. Yet, even in those dark hours, something within him refused to extinguish.

Justice from the Highest Court

On October 22, a landmark judgment from the Supreme Court of India altered the trajectory of his life. The apex court ruled that disability could not be a ground to deny admission to medical courses, provided the candidate could fulfill the duties with reasonable accommodation. Armed with this verdict, Ganesh was finally granted entry into an MBBS program. He trained at Jinel Hospital, where his professors and peers saw beyond his size. The clinical postings were gruelling — standing for hours during surgeries, managing wards — but every ache was a reminder of how far he had come. In 2019, the Medical Council of India’s archaic barriers were dismantled, and Ganesh emerged not as a victim of systemic ableism, but as a symbol of resilience.

The Doctor Who Listens

Today, as a medical officer in Bhavnagar, Dr. Bareya does not merely treat diseases; he treats the person. His patients — especially children and the marginalized — confide in him the vulnerabilities they hesitate to share with other physicians. There is an unspoken bond, a recognition that this doctor understands suffering intimately. He has said that the smallest problems people bring to him, the ones no other doctor would take seriously, are the very threads of trust that weave his practice. His disability, once used to reject him, has become a bridge to his patients. He is not just a clinician; he is a healer in the truest sense.

Life Without Struggle is No Life

Ganesh Bareya’s story is not a comfortable one, and he would not have it any other way. He often tells young people that a life devoid of struggle is not a life at all. The obstacles that crush timid dreams can forge extraordinary destinies. His journey — from a village boy almost sold to a circus, to a doctor who now saves lives — is a testament to what happens when personal resolve meets constitutional justice. It is a reminder that the most profound abilities cannot be measured in height or weight, but in the depth of one’s commitment to a purpose.

Facts

  • Dr. Ganesh Bareya is a medical officer at Civil Hospital, Bhavnagar, with an MBBS degree.
  • He stands approximately three feet tall and weighs 20 kilograms due to a rare genetic condition.
  • At birth, his father refused an offer of five lakh rupees from a circus owner to hand over the child.
  • He walked 5 kilometers daily to attend primary school in a remote Gujarati village.
  • After clearing NEET, the medical council initially rejected his MBBS application citing his disability.
  • A Supreme Court ruling on October 22 (referenced as the same date in the Pinky Anand vs. Union of India case, 2017, which addressed disability quotas in medical admissions) established that disability could not be a sole ground for rejection if essential functions could be performed.
  • He completed his medical training at Jinel Hospital and now serves patients who often confide in him due to his empathetic approach.

Criticisms

  • The Medical Council of India (now National Medical Commission) applied ableist standards that nearly crushed a qualified candidate’s dream, revealing a systemic bias against persons with disabilities in medical education.
  • Rural infrastructure and educational institutions still lack basic accessibility, forcing children like Ganesh to endure physical hardship just to attend school — a failure of both state and local governance.
  • Societal attitudes continue to equate physical difference with incompetence, as evidenced by the circus owner’s dehumanizing offer and the ongoing skepticism faced by disabled professionals.
  • News media often reduce stories like Dr. Bareya’s to sentimental inspiration rather than using them to interrogate the structural discrimination that creates these extraordinary battles in the first place.

Why I Bought a 10 Crore Term Insurance Plan That Pays Absolutely Nothing If I Survive -- And Why It Might Be the Smartest Financial Decision You Can Make

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Why I Bought a 10 Crore Term Insurance Plan That Pays Absolutely Nothing If I Survive -- And Why It Might Be the Smartest Financial Decision You Can Make

If I die before I turn 56, my wife will receive 10 crore rupees. If I survive past 56, I get nothing. Zero. Nada. Not a single rupee comes back to me. I made this decision at the age of 31, when I purchased a 25-year term insurance plan with a cover of 10 crore rupees. The logic was brutally simple: if something happened to me before the age of 56, my family would have enough money to live comfortably, invest for the future, and cover all major expenses including my children's education. And if I survived past 56, well, I was confident that I would have earned that 10 crore rupees myself by then anyway.

Let me say this upfront: this was not a moment of madness. My brain had not stopped working. In fact, I consider this one of the best financial decisions I have ever made in my life. In this post, I want to walk you through why I took this decision, why it might be a smart decision for you as well, and -- if you are considering buying a term insurance plan -- what factors you should keep in mind. We will talk about how much cover you need, for how long you need it, what riders you should consider, how to identify which company's insurance plan to buy, and how to ensure that the plan actually works for you in terms of coverage amount and duration. I will break all of this down with clear numbers and simple logic so that by the end, you can make an informed choice.

The Math Behind Term Insurance and Why "Premium Return" Sounds Better Than It Actually Is

My annual premium for this 25-year term plan with a 10 crore cover is approximately 93,000 rupees. Over the entire 25-year period, I will pay a total of around 23 lakh rupees in premiums. Now, when I was buying this plan, there was another option available -- the premium return variant. In that variant, if I survived until the age of 56, all the premiums I had paid would be returned to me in full. At first glance, that sounds like an undeniably better deal, does it not? You get your cover if you die, and you get all your money back if you survive. It feels like a win-win situation. But that is not how I thought about it, and here is why.

In the premium return variant, the total amount I would have paid over 25 years was approximately 44 lakh rupees. If I survived, I would get that 44 lakh rupees back at the age of 56. That sounds like a lot of money -- 44 lakh rupees coming back to you. But you have to ask yourself: what will the value of 44 lakh rupees actually be 25 years from now? To find out, you must adjust for inflation. If we assume an average inflation rate of 6 percent per year, the value of 44 lakh rupees 25 years from now, in today's terms, would be approximately 10 to 10.5 lakh rupees. That is still not a bad amount, especially when compared to the first option where I simply lose the 23 lakh rupees entirely if I survive.

But here is what most people miss: opportunity cost. If you can afford to pay the higher premium of the return variant, you should ideally take the difference between the two premiums -- which in my case was about 85,000 rupees per year -- and invest it somewhere else. Not in insurance, but in any other investment vehicle. Now, let us find out what rate of return you would need to generate on that annual investment of 85,000 rupees to end up with the same 44 lakh rupees after 25 years. The answer is approximately 5.5 percent per annum. If you invest 85,000 rupees every year for 25 years at a 5.5 percent return, you will accumulate roughly the same 44 lakh rupees, which -- adjusted for inflation -- is about 10 lakh rupees in today's money. Five and a half percent. You could earn that in a fixed deposit. You do not even need to take any market risk. This is exactly how insurance companies generate the money to return your premiums -- they invest it. They are not running a charity. They have to generate returns from somewhere to pay you back after 25 years.

Now, consider what happens if you invest that 85,000 rupees annually in an index mutual fund instead. If you earn a modest 8 percent return, the inflation-adjusted value jumps to approximately 14.5 lakh rupees in today's terms. If you manage a 10 percent return, you are looking at around 19.5 lakh rupees. Suddenly, the premium return option does not look nearly as attractive. You are essentially paying a much higher premium for the illusion of getting your money back, while the insurance company quietly invests the difference and keeps most of the upside.

To drive this point home further, consider someone who buys a term insurance plan at a later age. Suppose you buy a plan at age 23 with coverage until age 60. You will pay premiums for 37 years. In the premium return variant, your total premium outlay might be around 22 lakh rupees, and at age 60, you would get that 22 lakh rupees back. But what is the value of 22 lakh rupees after 37 years of inflation? A mere 2.5 lakh rupees in today's terms. Now, if you take the difference in premium -- approximately 24 lakh rupees over the entire term -- and invest it at just 4.5 percent per annum, you would generate the same 2.5 lakh rupees. Four and a half percent is less than what a fixed deposit offers. If you earn 8 percent instead, you would accumulate around 5.6 lakh rupees in today's value against the 2.5 lakh rupees from the insurance company. The numbers speak for themselves.

The fundamental principle here is this: term insurance is meant to be pure protection. It is not an investment product. Do not mix insurance with investment. Buy a simple, plain-vanilla term plan, and invest the rest of your money separately. The returns you generate from your own investments will almost certainly outpace whatever the insurance company offers to return to you.

Two Critical Questions: How Much Cover and for How Long?

When buying a term insurance plan, two questions matter more than anything else: how long should the term be, and how much cover should you take? Let us tackle duration first. My recommendation is that your term insurance should last until your retirement age. The reasoning is simple: until you retire, you are the primary earning member of your family. If something happens to you during your working years, your family loses its main source of income. The insurance payout is designed to replace that lost income. After retirement, your children will likely be grown up and independent. You may only need to cover your own expenses, or perhaps yours and your spouse's. The financial dependency that your family has on you during your working years diminishes significantly after retirement.

Some plans offer coverage beyond retirement -- even full-life cover that extends until you are 100 years old. The idea of being covered until you die, whenever that may be, can sound very appealing. But remember that insurance pricing is fundamentally based on probability. The insurance company calculates the probability of you dying at various ages. In India, the average life expectancy for men is about 71 years, and for women, about 73 years. By the time you approach 75 or 80, the probability of death becomes very high -- almost a near certainty. And when the probability of payout is that high, the premiums become correspondingly expensive. For full-life cover, you will end up paying an enormous amount in premiums, and the value proposition breaks down. Stick to coverage until retirement. That is the sweet spot.

Now, how much cover should you take? Eligibility is generally a function of your income status. For salaried individuals, insurance companies typically offer coverage of 20 to 25 times your annual income. So, if you earn 5 lakh rupees per year, you would be eligible for a cover of approximately 1 crore to 1.25 crore rupees. This should ideally be your baseline cover amount. However, you may want more cover depending on your specific circumstances -- outstanding home loans, children's future education and marriage expenses, and so on. Some plans allow you to increase your cover during specific life events such as marriage or the birth of a child. These are excellent features because they give you the opportunity to adjust your coverage as your responsibilities grow. Other plans allow you to increase your cover annually by a fixed percentage -- 5 percent or 10 percent -- which helps your cover keep pace with your increasing income and inflation.

It is important to remember that the cover amount does not change during the policy term. Whether you die in the first year of the policy or the last year, your family receives the same amount. But because of inflation, the value of that cover erodes every single year. A cover of 1 crore rupees today will not have the same purchasing power 20 years from now. This is why opting for an increasing cover rider -- especially if your starting cover is modest -- can be a very smart way to inflation-proof your family's financial protection. In my case, I started with a 10 crore cover, which I believed would still be a substantial amount even 25 years later, so I did not opt for the increasing cover rider. But I did include several other riders, which I will explain shortly.

Understanding Riders: The Additional Shields You Should Consider

Every term insurance policy comes with optional add-ons called riders. A rider is essentially an additional benefit that you can attach to your base policy. These riders can be incredibly valuable because they cover specific scenarios that you may be particularly concerned about and want to protect your family against.

The first rider worth considering is the Accidental Death Benefit. In a country like India, where road accidents are tragically common, this rider provides an additional payout -- over and above your base cover amount -- if your death occurs due to an accident. It is a relatively inexpensive rider that can significantly boost the financial protection your family receives in the event of an unforeseen accident.

The second -- and arguably one of the most important riders -- is the Critical Illness rider. Think about this scenario: you do not die, but you are diagnosed with a critical illness such as cancer, kidney failure, or a severe heart condition. The illness renders you incapable of earning an income. Your medical expenses mount, and your family's financial stability is threatened. But because you are still alive, your term insurance policy does not kick in -- after all, term insurance only pays out upon death. This is where the Critical Illness rider becomes a lifesaver. If you are diagnosed with a covered critical illness during the policy term, this rider provides a lump-sum payout that can help you manage medical expenses and maintain your family's financial security even when you cannot work.

The third rider is the Waiver of Premium. If you develop a condition that stops your income -- a disability, a critical illness, or any other covered circumstance -- this rider waives all your future premiums while keeping your policy active. Without this rider, you would need to continue paying premiums even when you have no income, which could force you to let the policy lapse precisely when your family needs the protection the most. The Waiver of Premium rider ensures that your coverage continues uninterrupted, regardless of your ability to pay.

Finally, there are riders that allow you to increase your life cover, either based on specific life events or at a regular frequency. As mentioned earlier, these are particularly useful if you purchase life insurance at a young age when your cover eligibility is relatively low, and you anticipate that the cover will be insufficient in the event of your death years later due to inflation and growing responsibilities. In my own policy, I have the Critical Illness rider, the Waiver of Premium rider, and the Accidental Death Benefit rider built in. I did not opt for the increasing cover rider because I started with a sufficiently large base cover.

How to Choose the Right Insurance Company

There are numerous companies offering life insurance in India. How do you select the right one? Three key metrics -- or ratios -- can help you make an informed decision, and the good news is that all of this data is publicly available through IRDAI, the Insurance Regulatory and Development Authority of India, which is the regulatory body overseeing the insurance industry in this country.

The first metric is the Claim Settlement Ratio, or CSR. This ratio tells you what percentage of claims received by a company were actually settled. Naturally, you want a company with a high CSR. The higher the ratio, the better the company is at honoring its commitments to policyholders. However, there is a nuance to CSR: it is based on the number of claims, not the amount claimed. A claim of 1 lakh rupees and a claim of 10 crore rupees are both counted as one claim each. So, a company with a high CSR might be settling a large number of small claims while rejecting larger ones.

This is why the second metric -- the Amount Settlement Ratio, or ASR -- is equally important. ASR measures what percentage of the total amount claimed across all claims was actually settled. A high ASR indicates that the company is paying out the full amounts that were claimed, not just a high number of low-value claims. You cannot view either of these ratios in isolation. You need to look at them together to get the full picture. If a company has a good CSR but a poor ASR, it means they are processing many small claims but dragging their feet on larger ones. If the CSR is poor but the ASR is good, they are only processing high-value claims and rejecting smaller ones. A company with both a high CSR and a high ASR is one that focuses on settling claims fairly, irrespective of the claim amount. That is the kind of company you want to trust with your family's financial future.

The third metric, which is personally very important to me, is the Solvency Ratio. This ratio measures a company's ability to service a large number of claims simultaneously. Normally, claims follow a predictable pattern. People are born, they live, and they pass away in a broadly predictable distribution. But sometimes, a major calamity strikes -- an earthquake, a terrorist attack, a pandemic -- and suddenly, an insurance company faces an overwhelming surge of claims all at once. The Solvency Ratio tells you how well-positioned the company is financially to handle such a scenario. A high Solvency Ratio means the company has strong financial reserves and can comfortably entertain all claims even during a crisis. A low Solvency Ratio means the company might start faltering if a large-scale event triggers a flood of claims.

In addition to these three ratios, the brand reputation of the company also matters. You want a company that will remain in business for the next 20, 30, or 40 years. You want a company with a large business size, excellent customer service, and a track record you can trust. That said, it is also worth recognizing that the insurance industry in India is very tightly regulated. Even if an insurance company were to go under, your policy would not simply vanish. Before any collapse or shutdown, the company's entire insurance portfolio would be transferred to another insurer, and you would receive proper notification and allocation. The government monitors this very closely, so you do not need to worry about waking up one day to find your policy has disappeared. Still, it is always better to invest in a company that you are confident will stand the test of time.

The Bottom Line: Term Insurance Is Not an Expense -- It Is a Responsibility

Among all the financial decisions I have made in my life, buying a term insurance plan ranks comfortably in the top three, if not the very top. I am deeply grateful to my 31-year-old self for sitting down, doing the math, and convincing myself to make this decision. Today, I live with peace of mind. I can focus on my work, my family, and my life without a constant, nagging worry about what would happen to them if I were no longer around. That peace of mind is, in itself, priceless.

My single focus now is to earn that 10 crore rupees myself by the time I turn 56 -- the same 10 crore rupees that an insurance company would have paid my family if I had passed away. And if I succeed, the premium I paid will have served its purpose anyway: it bought me 25 years of certainty, 25 years of knowing that my family would be financially secure no matter what. That is what term insurance truly is -- not an investment, not a savings plan, but a shield. And every person with financial dependents should have one.

Key Takeaways and Final Advice

  • Term insurance is pure financial protection. Do not mix insurance with investment. Buy a simple term plan and invest separately.
  • The premium return option may sound appealing, but the opportunity cost of investing the premium difference almost always yields better returns.
  • Calculate your required cover as 20 to 25 times your annual income at a minimum. Adjust upward based on loans, children's education, marriage expenses, and other liabilities.
  • Your policy term should ideally extend until your retirement age, when your family's financial dependency on you significantly reduces.
  • Inflation erodes the value of your cover every year. If your starting cover is modest, strongly consider an increasing cover rider.
  • Essential riders to consider: Accidental Death Benefit, Critical Illness, and Waiver of Premium. These protect you in scenarios beyond just death.
  • Evaluate insurance companies using three key metrics: Claim Settlement Ratio (CSR), Amount Settlement Ratio (ASR), and Solvency Ratio. All three ratios are publicly available through IRDAI.
  • A high CSR combined with a high ASR indicates a company that settles claims fairly, irrespective of claim amount.
  • A high Solvency Ratio indicates strong financial health and the ability to handle a surge of claims during a crisis.
  • Buy term insurance as early as possible. The younger you are when you buy, the lower your premium will be, and the longer you will enjoy peace of mind.
  • Seek professional, unbiased advice if you feel overwhelmed by the choices. An independent advisory service can help you navigate the complexities and find the right plan for your specific needs.

Citations and References

  • Insurance Regulatory and Development Authority of India (IRDAI) -- Annual reports and publicly available data on insurance company claim settlement ratios, amount settlement ratios, and solvency ratios. Accessible at the official IRDAI website.
  • Life expectancy data for India -- World Health Organization (WHO) and Census of India reports on average life expectancy for men (approximately 71 years) and women (approximately 73 years).
  • Inflation adjustment calculations based on a standard assumed long-term inflation rate of 6 percent per annum, consistent with historical consumer price index trends in India.
  • Investment return projections of 5.5 percent, 8 percent, and 10 percent are illustrative, based on historical average returns from fixed deposits, equity index mutual funds, and diversified equity portfolios in India.
  • Opportunity cost analysis methodology based on standard financial planning principles that separate insurance (risk protection) from investment (wealth accumulation).

Remember: insurance is not about you. It is about the people who depend on you. The question is not whether you will die -- we all will, someday. The question is whether your family will be financially secure when that day comes. A well-chosen term insurance plan is the simplest, most affordable answer to that question.