Saturday, May 4, 2019

Rise of Nifty50




Even though Nifty has climbed from 1000 points (as of 1-Jan-1994) to 11,724.75 points as of 2-May-2019 in 26 years, but if we look at the growth that the index has seen in each month since its inception we have the following figures:

In 136 months, the market had downfall, it was bearish.
In 168 months, the market saw a rise, it was bullish.
Bulls to bears ratio is: 1.23 and bears to bulls ratio is: 0.81
If you want to survive on earnings from Nifty 50 Index, your earnings from a profitable month should cover your expenses for about 1.81 months.

If we look at the quarterly data, then we have the following results:
In 43 quarters, the market had downfall, it was bearish.
In 59 quarters, the market saw a rise, it was bullish.
Bulls to bears ratio is: 1.37 and bears to bulls ratio is: 0.76

If we look at the half years (i.e., Jan-Jun and Jul-Dec), then we have the following results:
In 20 half-years, we had a bearish market.
In 31 half-years, we had a bullish market.
Bulls to bears ratio is: 1.55 and bears to bulls ratio is: 0.64

If we look at the yearly figures (i.e., 1-Jan to 31-Dec), then we have the following results:
In 8 years, we had a bearish market.
In 18 years, we had a bullish market.
Bulls to bears ratio is: 2.25 and bears to bulls ratio is: 0.44

If we look at the bi-yearly figures, then we have the following results:
In 4 bi-yearly periods, we had a bearish market.
In 9 bi-yearly periods, we had a bullish market.
Bulls to bears ratio is: 2.25 and bears to bulls ratio is: 0.44

If we look at the tri-yearly figures, then we have the following results:
In 2 tri-yearly periods, we had a bearish market.
In 7 tri-yearly periods, we had a bullish market.
Bulls to bears ratio is: 3.5 and bears to bulls ratio is: 0.28

If we look at the four-yearly figures, then we have the following results:
In 1 four-yearly periods, we had a bearish market.
In 6 four-yearly periods, we had a bullish market.
Bulls to bears ratio is: 6 and bears to bulls ratio is: 0.16
4-Years Open Close Change
1994 1000.00 1079.40 79.40
1998 1078.95 1059.05 -19.90
2002 1058.85 2836.55 1777.70
2006 2836.80 5201.05 2364.25
2010 5200.90 6304.00 1103.10
2014 6323.80 10530.70 4206.90
2018 10531.70 11748.15 1216.45

If we look at the five-yearly figures, then we have the following results:
In 1 five-yearly periods, we had a bearish market.
In 5 five-yearly periods, we had a bullish market.
Bulls to bears ratio is: 5 and bears to bulls ratio is: 0.2
5-Years Open Close Change
1994 1000.00 884.25 -115.75
1999 886.75 1879.75 993.00
2004 1880.35 2959.15 1078.80
2009 2963.30 6304.00 3340.70
2014 6323.80 10862.55 4538.75
2019 10881.70 11748.15 866.45

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