Thursday, July 31, 2025

Microsoft & OpenAI’s High-Stakes AI Deal: What’s at Risk and What’s Next?

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Microsoft and OpenAI: What’s Going On With Their Big AI Deal?

If you’ve been following the world of artificial intelligence, you’ve probably heard of OpenAI—the company behind ChatGPT—and Microsoft, one of its biggest supporters. Recently, there’s been a lot of buzz about the two companies working out a new deal that could shape the future of AI technology for years to come. Here’s what’s happening, explained in simple terms.

What’s the Big Deal?

Microsoft and OpenAI are in advanced talks to make sure Microsoft can keep using OpenAI’s technology, even if OpenAI reaches a major milestone called “AGI,” or artificial general intelligence. AGI is a term for AI that’s as smart as a human at pretty much any task. No one’s sure exactly what AGI will look like, but it’s a big goal in the tech world.

Right now, Microsoft has invested a whopping $13.75 billion in OpenAI and uses its technology in products like Copilot (the AI helper in Windows, Office, and GitHub). Their current agreement says Microsoft can use OpenAI’s tech until 2030, or until OpenAI says it’s achieved AGI—whichever comes first. If OpenAI suddenly claims it’s reached AGI, Microsoft could lose access to the technology it’s built so much around. That’s why Microsoft wants a new deal that guarantees ongoing access, no matter what.

Why Is This Complicated?

OpenAI started as a nonprofit with a mission to make sure AI benefits everyone. Later, it created a “capped for-profit” company to raise money, but with limits on how much investors can earn. This structure is unusual and has made things tricky as OpenAI grows and wants to act more like a regular business.

Microsoft wants a bigger piece of the pie if OpenAI becomes a full for-profit company. Reports say they’re negotiating for a stake of around 30% to 35%. But there are hurdles: government regulators are watching closely, and Elon Musk (one of OpenAI’s founders) is suing to stop OpenAI from going fully for-profit.

What’s Next?

If the deal goes through, Microsoft would keep access to OpenAI’s technology, and both companies could benefit financially. OpenAI also wants to make sure Microsoft uses its AI safely, especially as they get closer to AGI.

In short, this is a high-stakes negotiation that could affect how AI is used in the future—and who gets to profit from it. Stay tuned, because the outcome could change the tech landscape in a big way!


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